WASHINGTON, Aug 29 (Reuters) – The United States and Iran have found a way to deal with U.N. investigations into Tehran’s nuclear program that allows both to claim victory for now but delays a final resolution, according to three sources familiar with the matter. .
Tehran has pushed Washington to commit to shutting down International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) investigations into uranium traces found at three undeclared sites before it fully implements a proposed deal to revive the 2015 Iran nuclear deal.
The United States and its partners, however, reject that attitude, arguing that the investigations can only conclude when Iran has given satisfactory answers to the Vienna agency.
PROBES AND POLITICAL PRESSURE
The IAEA issue threatens to prevent a revival of the 2015 pact, abandoned by then-U.S. President Donald Trump in 2018, under which Iran curbed its nuclear program in exchange for help from US, EU and UN sanctions.
After reneging on the deal, Trump reimposed US sanctions on Iran, prompting Tehran to resume previously banned nuclear activities and rekindling US, European and Israeli fears that Iran may seek a nuclear bomb. This may interest you : Iran’s Economic Threats to the United States. Iran denies such ambition.
Iran tried to use the talks on reviving the 2015 deal to get the IAEA to shut down the investigations.
The investigations mainly relate to apparently old sites dating back to before or around 2003, when US intelligence agencies and the IAEA believe Iran has halted a coordinated nuclear weapons program.
Iran denies ever having such a program, but information including material Israel says it seized from an Iranian “archive” of past work raises questions about the matter.
Given the West’s refusal to commit to closing the probes by a specific date, and Iran’s insistence that it will not fully comply with the deal if they remain active, there appear to be at least four possible outcomes.
According to the first, Iran would satisfy the IAEA’s concerns in time and the 2015 agreement is revived.
Under the second, Tehran would fail to satisfy the IAEA, refuse to take the nuclear steps to comply with the agreement, and Washington would refuse to provide sanctions relief envisaged in the final phase of the proposed agreement.
However, nuclear restrictions, and sanctions relief, provided in earlier phases of the proposed agreement would occur.
“As I understand it, the Iranians will freeze high-grade enrichment, 20%, 60%, the US will ease some sanctions, very few, not very significant,” said a source familiar with the matter.
However, there is the possibility that the timelines of the nuclear deal could be extended, giving Iran more time to satisfy the IAEA if it chooses to delay the completion of the deal, a US and Iranian official said.
The US official said there is a provision in the draft text, unrelated to the IAEA issue, that allows Iran or the US to request a delay to Effective Day.
Under a third scenario, Tehran could comply with the deal even if the IAEA investigations remain open, a policy reversal that could be difficult for Iranian leaders to swallow or sell at home.
A fourth possibility could be that political pressure could force the IAEA to close the probes even if it is not satisfied with Iran’s answers, although US officials say they will not strong-arm the agency.
Eurasia Group analyst Henry Rome said that if a deal was agreed, it was more likely than not to be implemented.
“But now there would be a lot more uncertainty than in 2015,” he said.
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Reporting by Arshad Mohammed; Additional reporting by Francois Murphy in Vienna; Editing by Daniel Wallis To see also : Tackling the challenges of society through the arts, sciences and humanities today.
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When did Iran start its nuclear program?
Iran’s nuclear program was launched in the 1950s with the help of the United States under the Atoms for Peace program, and in 1970, Iran ratified the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), limiting its nuclear program to peaceful uses, and making its nuclear program. To see also : Viewpoint: Small Business Program at Risk As Congress Debates Merit. subject to inspection by the International Atomic Energy Agency…
How long did the Iran nuclear deal last? According to details of the agreement released by the US government, Iran’s uranium supply will be reduced by 98% to 300 kg (660 lb) over 15 years. The level of enrichment must also remain at 3.67%. Iran will retain no more than 6,104 of the nearly 20,000 centrifuges it owns.
When did the Iran nuclear deal start?
On January 16, 2016, the International Atomic Energy Agency verified that Iran has completed the necessary steps under the Iran deal, which will ensure that Iran’s nuclear program is and remains exclusively peaceful.
Does Iran have a nuclear weapons program?
According to US intelligence estimates, Tehran has the ability to produce nuclear weapons at some point, but has stalled its nuclear weapons program and has not mastered all the technologies necessary to build such weapons.
When did Iran resume its nuclear program?
July 31, 2004: Iran declares that it has resumed building nuclear centrifuges to enrich uranium, reversing a voluntary pledge of October 2003 to Britain, France, and Germany to suspend all uranium-enrichment activities. The United States claims that the goal is to produce weapons-grade uranium.
Has Iran violated the nuclear deal? In July 2017, the Trump administration certified that Iran had ratified the agreement, but in October 2017, the Trump administration refused to recertify Iran’s compliance with the agreement, saying that “Iran has violated the agreement multiple times.”
Does Iran have a nuclear weapons program?
According to US intelligence estimates, Tehran has the ability to produce nuclear weapons at some point, but has stalled its nuclear weapons program and has not mastered all the technologies necessary to build such weapons.
When did the Iran nuclear deal take place?
On 22 May 2015, President Obama signed the Iran Nuclear Deal Review Act of 2015 into law; that legislation passed the Senate by a 98â1 vote and the House by a 400â25 vote, and was approved by Obama on 22 May 2015.
Why is Iran so important?
It is a founding member of the United Nations, the ECO, the OIC, and the OPEC. It has large reserves of fossil fuels – including the second largest natural gas reserves and the fourth largest proven oil reserves. The country’s rich cultural heritage is reflected in part by its 26 UNESCO World Heritage Sites.
Is Iran developed? Although economically classified as a developing or emerging market, Iran can be considered a developed country in many ways. It has strong established industries such as automobile manufacturing (capable of producing more than 1 million vehicles per year) and pharmaceuticals (mainly generic).
Is Iran a developed or undeveloped country?
According to the International Monetary Fund, Iran is a “transition economy”, i.e., changing from a planned to a market economy. The United Nations classifies Iran’s economy as semi-developed.
Is there poverty in Iran?
| 1395 | 1399 | |
|---|---|---|
| Rural | 7,16 | 7.67 |
Is Iran economically developed?
Iran’s economy is slowly emerging from a decade of stagnation, stalled by two rounds of economic sanctions, considerable oil price cyclicality and the COVID-19 pandemic. Real GDP in 2020/21 was almost at the same level as 2010/11, and real GDP per capita in 2020/21 fell to its 2004/05 level.
Does Iran have a nuclear weapons program?
According to US intelligence estimates, Tehran has the ability to produce nuclear weapons at some point, but has stalled its nuclear weapons program and has not mastered all the technologies necessary to build such weapons.
Which countries support Iran’s nuclear program? The Iran nuclear agreement framework was a preliminary framework agreement reached in 2015 between the Islamic Republic of Iran and a group of world powers: the P5 1 (the permanent members of the United Nations Security Council – the United States, Great Britain, Russia). , France, and Chinaâplus Germany) and the European…
What does Iran say about their nuclear program?
Iran says its nuclear program is peaceful, and has enriched uranium to less than 5 percent, compatible with fuel for a civilian nuclear power plant. Iran also claims it was forced to resort to secrecy after US pressure caused several of its nuclear contracts with foreign governments to fall through.
How many nuclear bomb does Iran have?
| IRAN’S STOCK ASSESSMENT (5/15/22) | IF ENRICHED TO WEAPONS GRADE (90% PRODUCTION) | NUMBER OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS |
|---|---|---|
| 58.8 kg to 20% U-235 (~18%) | 11.2 kg | |
| 223 kg to 5% U-235 (~4.5%) | 8.7 kg | Four weapons (1,199 SWU) |
| 508.6 kg to 5% U-235 (~4.5%) | 20 kg | Five weapons (2,020 SWU) |
