In Tuesday’s Minnesota special election, Republican Brad Finstad won by just 4 percentage points in the 1st congressional district, where then-President Donald Trump won by double digits in 2020, proving the idea that the GOP is facing a backlash after the decision of the Supreme Court on Abortion.
In this episode of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew breaks down that election, as well as notable primaries in Minnesota, Vermont, and Wisconsin. They also look at how incumbents are faring overall in the midterm primaries and discuss the FBI’s search of Mar-a-Lago, Trump’s Florida home, and what that might mean for the broader Justice Department investigation.
You can listen to the episode by clicking the play button at the top of the audio player, or download it to iTunes, the ESPN app, or your favorite podcast platform. If you’re new to podcasts, learn how to listen.
The FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast is recorded on Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes. Have a comment, question, or suggestion for good polling vs bad polling? Reach out via email, on Twitter, or in the comments.
Galen Druke is the podcast producer and reporter for FiveThirtyEight. @galendruke
Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux is senior writer for FiveThirtyEight. @ameliatd
Geoffrey Skelley is Senior Elections Analyst at FiveThirtyEight. @geoffreyvs
Nathaniel Rakich is Senior Election Analyst at FiveThirtyEight. @baseballot
