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In the last week of the January 6 congressional hearing, former White House aide Cassidy Hutchinson outlined the days before the assassination attempt on the US Capitol and stressed that then-President Donald Trump and some people in his administration were threatening violence were aware. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses how this hearing could affect Americans’ views on Trump and the Republican nominees at noon who support Trump’s “Big Lie.”

The crew is also analyzing a new survey from the University of New Hampshire, which has garnered considerable media attention to complicate the 2024 Republican presidential primaries. And Kaleigh Rogers and Nate Silver compete in an Independence Day-inspired statistics game where they guess how many Americans know the country’s national anthem and how many love burgers over hot dogs.

You can listen to the episode by clicking the “Play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes, the ESPN app or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen.

The FiveThirtyEight policy podcast will be recorded Monday and Thursday. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes. Do you have a comment, question or suggestion for “good poll vs. bad poll”? Contact us by email, on Twitter or in the comments.

Galen Druke is the FiveThirtyEight podcast producer and reporter. @galendruk

Nate Silver is the founder and editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight. @ natesilver538

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