The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterm forecast is live! Republicans are strong favorites to win back the House, while control of the Senate is a toss-up. This episode of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is the first edition of “Model Talk” in this year’s interim cycle. Editor-in-chief Nate Silver talks to Galen Druke about some of the factors behind the forecast; the possible outcomes in battlefield states such as Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Arizona and Georgia; and what could change between now and Election Day.
You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above, or by downloading it from iTunes, the ESPN app, or your favorite podcast platform. If you’re new to podcasts, learn how to listen.
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded on Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes. Have a comment, question, or suggestion for “good poll vs. bad poll”? Get in touch via email, on Twitter or in the comments.
Galen Druke is the podcast producer and reporter for FiveThirtyEight. @galendruke
Nate Silver is the founder and editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight. @natesilver538
