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No, it’s not too early to start planning holiday travel.

It may seem soon. Thanksgiving and winter holidays are months away. But experts predict that this summer’s record-breaking demand will turn into a chaotic travel season leading up to the holidays. If you don’t start planning your trip now, you might end up going nowhere.

“Book everything now,” said Tim Hentschel, CEO of HotelPlanner, a travel technology company. “This will ensure availability and act as a hedge against inflation and continued cost increases. If you wait until November and December, your winter holiday travel will only be more expensive.”

Demand for travel remains strong. Analysts at CBRE Hotels Research expect hotel rates to fully return to 2019 levels this fall. The average price of a room in the US will rise almost 7% from last year to $134. Air fares rose by a staggering 33% between August 2021 and 2022. Fare watchers expect the trend to continue, driven by inflation and an insatiable appetite for travel.

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Air travel app Hopper predicts that domestic air travel for Thanksgiving departure dates will average $350 round trip, up 22% over the same time in 2019. For the Christmas departure, fares are up 31% to $463.

The safe way is to book now. But there are times when you want to push the “buy” button and times when you’re better off waiting, experts said. And there are some new rules for holiday travel.

When you shouldn’t wait to plan your holiday trip

If you’re thinking of doing something popular during the holidays, like skiing in the Rockies or visiting the Christmas markets in Germany, you’re not too early. On the same subject : Lake Creek softball is the USA Today High School Awards Girls Team of the Year.

Ben Julius, founder of Tourist Journey, started seeing 20% ​​higher search volumes for his early summer vacations.

“We are tracking an upward trend of average week-on-week price increases of 3% for the week between Christmas and New Year,” he said. “The main reason for this is that hotel prices are increasing significantly due to the higher bookings this year.”

If you’re headed somewhere everyone else wants to go, don’t wait.

But what about those last minute airfare deals? They could be relevant, but this holiday season, it is doubtful, experts said.

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“It’s crazy how many people leave things to chance,” said Jeremy Hulls, senior editor at Family Destinations Guide. “I already hear from people who think they can book flights later and can only shake my head in disagreement.”

Those travelers are likely to take vacations this holiday season.

Shabi Najafov, a frequent traveler and tech executive from Alpine, New Jersey, loves to wait until the last minute for a deal, but after traveling this summer, she’s having second thoughts.

“I have already started planning our holiday vacation,” she said.

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When you should wait to plan your holiday trip

But good things can come to those who wait, even during a sold-out holiday season. Read also : The College Sports Leader hangs in the Balance.

“There are always last-minute deals,” said HotelPlanner’s Hentschel. “So if you’re more adventurous, you can wait to book everything until a few days before you leave.”

Where are those markets? It is too early to tell. Look for destinations that fall out of favor. Also, places that are less popular during the holidays, such as a beach resort in a cooler climate, may have a last minute sale to fill empty hotel beds.

But you should also wait to travel if you are concerned about health and safety. If you are immune, this may not be the time to think about the New Year’s event. And if you do, make sure you have a travel insurance policy to cover you.

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Expert advice for traveling during the holidays

There is no one-size-fits-all advice for making your holiday plans. But time is important. Read also : Children returning to youth sports at NRV. For certain parts of the trip, you’ll want to jump on any bargain you find now. For others, it may be too soon.

Analysis by ARC, which handles airline ticket arrangements, suggests that September is the best time to book a ticket. It was found that passengers are waiting until closer to their travel dates to book. Before the pandemic, people booked their holiday travel 49 days out. That number reduced to 40 days in 2020 and 42 days in 2021.

“We’re not seeing any meaningful trends in people buying tickets earlier for holiday travel this year,” said Chuck Thackston, ARC’s managing director of data science and research.

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Research by Expedia shows that the typical sweet spot for booking is about 30 days in advance for domestic travel and 90 to 120 days for international travel. Expedia data suggests that prices tend to be higher when you are more than 60 days away from travel for domestic flights.

But for hotels – especially popular resorts – you may have a tighter deadline. Some resorts are already sold out for the busy Christmas and New Year weeks.

“If you’re starting to plan vacation travel now, it’s already too late,” said Stephanie Goldberg-Glazer, owner of Live Well, Travel Often, a boutique travel agency.

In other words, this is not the holiday travel season to delay. Start thinking about your holiday trip now, if you just want to be home for Christmas.

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What has changed for 2022 holiday travel

► Minimum stays: Many resorts are implementing minimum stay periods for their guests during busy holiday periods. “These are surprises for our clients,” said Kate Johnson, owner of KJ Travel in Houston. She has seen minimum stay requirements of five to seven nights and sometimes as high as 10 nights during the peak holiday season. Also, some hotels have 90-day cancellation windows during that period. In other words, their rates are more or less non-refundable.

► Flexible schedules: I’ve heard from many readers who say their carefully planned vacations are already in jeopardy because of airline cancellations. Experts say you need to be extra flexible this holiday season. “Choose the type of vacation you want, such as a ski trip or tropical vacation, and be flexible with the destination rather than having your heart set on a particular one,” advises Lauren Gumport, vice president at Faye Travel Insurance. “That way, you can choose what fits your budget.”

► Inflation: Prices are generally rising. Prices for activities, restaurant meals and tours are rising as inflation spreads within the travel industry. “Don’t forget to align your maximum budget with your chosen destination,” advises Oluwaseyi Aladeselu, a travel consultant with tmd Escapes, a luxury travel agency. Failure to do so will stress you out on your vacation, and that’s no fun.

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