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Aaron Rodgers’ over/under for passing yards has fallen three times in the sports books.

GREEN BAY, Wis. – Bettors aren’t buying Aaron Rodgers’ new team hosting the Green Bay Packers.

In FanDuel Sportsbook, Rodgers’ total for passing yards opened with 4,120.5 yards. Bet they threw money down. Thus, the total was reduced to 4,050.5 yards. Bet they were hitting the bottom. Thus, the total was reduced to 4,005 yards. Bettors continued to bet below.

So, in the latest update, FanDuel changed Rodger’s total to 3,950.5 yards.

The underdog is no indictment of Rodgers, who has won the last two MVP awards and four overall. He has the fifth chance to win the MVP on FanDuel at +1000. At SI Sportsbook, he is +900. Instead, it’s the feeling — real or fake — that Green Bay’s receiving corps won’t be fixed after the Davante Adams trade.

Except for two seasons in which he missed nearly half the season with broken collarbones, Rodgers has passed 4,000 yards 10 of 12 times. The exceptions were 2015 (yards 3,821) and the 2010 championship season (3,922 yards). In both cases, his per-game numbers would have pushed him over 4,000 yards under the new 17-game format.

The Adams business could be a huge disaster. Over the past six seasons, he led all NFL receivers in receptions, yards and touchdowns. He led the league with 98.1 receiving yards per game in 2020 and just eclipsed that mark with an average of 97.1 yards in 2021.

In response, general manager Brian Gutekunst signed Sammy Watkins and drafted Christian Watson, Romeo Doubs and Samori Toure. Along with veterans Allen Lazard and Randall Cobb, they will have to carry the load.

“Every year,” Rodgers said on The Pat McAfee Show recently, “there’s an attitude that starts to come out about players wearing helmets and shorts, and I’d say everybody Let him breathe easy and trust the time of training camp that we have. , trust the coaching staff, trust the relationships that will continue to be formed, trust the guys in the room like Allen Lazard, and Randall Cobb, and Sammy Watkins to help these guys out.

To throw for 4,000 yards requires an average of 235.3 yards over 17 games. That average ranked just 13th in the league last season.

Rodgers ranks 10th in NFL history with 55,360 yards. He is 1,663 yards behind Eli Manning for ninth.

Ten Biggest Questions of Packers Training Camp

Here are the 10 biggest questions to be answered during Packers training camp, from A (ACLs) to, well, A (Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon carrying the offense).

1. Star Players’ Return from Torn ACLs

There are many questions surrounding the Green Bay Packers as they begin the 2022 NFL season. To see also : Best Sci-Fi TV Shows on Netflix. The chase for answers will begin Wednesday with the first practice of training camp.

The biggest question can be summed up in just three letters.

The team’s three best players, offensive linemen David Bakhtiari and Elgton Jenkins and Robert Tonyan, are coming off torn ACLs. To be clear, the Packers need to be on the field and playing at a high level for any possible drive to the playoffs.

The Packers haven’t won a Super Bowl since 2010. Could 2020 have been the year Bakhtiari had just injured his knee during a season-ending practice?

The Packers ended up losing to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31-26 in the NFC Championship Game. Green Bay gave up five sacks in that game, all of them coming against Billy Turner (who moved from right tackle to left tackle) or Rick Wagner (who moved to right tackle). It is impossible to believe that the Packers would have given up that many sacks Bakhtiari was on the field.

And at least they could have beaten the 49ers in last year’s divisional game if it had been Bakhtiari on the left and Turner on the right instead of Turner on the left and Dennis Kelly on the right.

Or, ​​​​​​​​​they could have won that game and made a run to the Super Bowl if Bakhtiari’s replacement, Jenkins, had not suffered a torn ACL in Minnesota in November. Jenkins had cemented his status as one of the NFL’s top offensive linemen. After allowing one sack playing mostly guard in 2019 and 2020, Jenkins allowed just two sacks in eight starts at left tackle last year.

When healthy, Bakhtiari and Jenkins are two of the best blockers in the NFL. Their availability — especially in January — is far more important than the play of the rookie receivers.

Meanwhile, Tonyan needs to show that his 2020 catches — 52, 11 touchdowns and zero drops — were nothing out of the ordinary. There were only seven fouls thrown in 2020; last year, before the injury, there were 11. The Packers need Tonyan to return to his playing form to help offset the loss of Davante Adams.

Bakhtiari, Jenkins and Tonyan will begin training camp on the disabled list. That was the expectation of Jenkins and Tonyan, but the news may worry Bakhtiari.

2. How Can Packers Replace Davante Adams?

Maybe a rejuvenated Sammy Watkins can resurrect his career. Read also : Greensburg Night Market expands retail, music space. Maybe rookie Christian Watson will be the next big thing.

But, at least for the start of the season, the passing game will go as far as Allen Lazard goes. He was very good last year. During the final five games of the regular season, he caught 21-of-28 passes (75.0 percent) for 290 yards and five touchdowns. If Lazard could do that in 17 games, he would finish with 71 receptions for 986 yards and 17 touchdowns. The Packers would be thrilled to get that kind of production in a well-rounded offense.

Lazard will no doubt get more chances, so that should help the numbers. On the other hand, he will be a player to watch for opposing defensive coordinators and will likely face more No. 1 corners than ever before.

“I’m excited about Allen Lazard,” quarterback Aaron Rodgers said at minicamp. “He’s been our dirty work guy for most of his career here. Now he’s getting a chance to be the No. 1 receiver, so I’m not worried at all about him stepping into that role.”

Will the extra Lazard, the return of Robert Tonyan and the addition of Watkins and three draft picks be enough? That’s why quarterbacks and coaches get paid so much. Making things work, no matter the circumstances.

“Every year,” Rodgers said recently on The Pat McAfee Show, “there’s an attitude that starts to come out about players wearing helmets and shorts, and I’d say everybody take a deep breath and trust the time of training camp that we have. , trust the coaching staff, trust the relationships that will continue to be formed, trust the guys in the room like Allen Lazard, and Randall Cobb, and Sammy Watkins to help these guys out.

3. Can Rich Bisaccia Fix Special Teams?

Special teams coordinator Rich Bisaccia’s list is so long, he probably wishes training camp had opened a month ago. See the article : 2023 looks set to be a great year for video games – maybe we should hope so.

He has to get Mason Crosby back on track, find a long snapper, find a returner, a teaching plan, fix the fundamentals, and maybe, most of all, instill some emotion and confidence that was absent. All of those things worked out for the Packers, too, finishing in the basement of Rick Gosselin’s annual rankings.

Because as the offense played in the division loss to the 49ers, everything would have been better if Maurice Drayton’s parts had not been included. A closed car lifted for a skid provided a shocking end to the season. At the same time, a major mistake by the special teams seemed inevitable.

Enter Bisaccia. His teams have finished better than the Packers’ teams in Gosselin’s rankings for an incredible 10 consecutive seasons. Eight times during that period, Bisaccia’s shares were at least 10 points better.

“It’s definitely an opportunity to teach football and maybe teach life lessons and maybe get guys to figure out how to be the glue on offense and defense,” Bisaccia said. “We use a phrase around here, ‘We-fense.’ It’s not really an offense, it’s not really a defense. It’s us-fence. It’s us. There is no other place on the field other than the punt team where you can find a linebacker installed next to a tight end placed next to the safety and the running back is the personal defender making all the calls. It’s the only place you get in the field. I think a lot of my success or the success we’ve had with special teams in the places I’ve been has really been driven by the players. ”

4. Who Will Provide Depth, Production at Outside Linebacker?

Green Bay’s starting outside linebackers, Rashan Gary and Preston Smith, have excelled. But it’s an incredibly demanding situation. Even though Gary and Smith start every game together, there are plenty of predictions to be made.

Last season, other outfielders played 791 snaps. For perspective, more than Smith (688) or Gary (681). The three main backups returning from last year, Jonathan Garvin, Tipa Galeai and La’Darius Hamilton, combined for 2.5 sacks and two tackles for loss. The main addition was fifth round pick Kingsley Enagbare.

5. Who Will Provide Depth in Secondary?

It’s the same problem at cornerback and safety as it is at outside linebacker. The starters are great. The depth — at least before the first practice of camp — isn’t there.

At cornerback, the Packers have three of the best starting linebackers in the NFL with Jaire Alexander, Rasul Douglas and Eric Stokes. However, they suffered one injury from the fourth corner kick to the starting line-up. During the offseason, that was Keisean Nixon. In three NFL seasons, he had one interception in 40 games.

At safety, the Packers have one of the best starting corps in the league with Adrian Amos and Darnell Savage. Every safety on the roster tied for the top defensive tackle in the NFL last season. Safety No. 3 in the offseason was Sean Davis. A fifth-round pick by the Colts last season, he played in one game as a rookie with nine tackles on special teams.

Maybe the starting five will play all 17 games and that depth won’t be needed. Maybe first round pick Quay Walker will be so good that the Packers won’t have to play too much defense; Last season’s third safety, Henry Black, played 262 snaps last season. The Packers will likely need a cornerback and safety to emerge from training camp and/or keep an eye on the waiver wire.

6. Is Quay Walker More Than Great Prospect?

Speaking of Quay Walker, the first-round pick is big and athletic enough that he and All-Pro De’Vondre Campbell could form the next big league pitcher.

In 2019, the Packers gambled on Rashan Gary’s potential and won. Now, they’re betting on Walker’s ability. Like Gary, Walker’s statistical output in college was nothing special. It’s amazing that a man of his stature didn’t force a single turnover in four seasons at Georgia and had just three turnovers as a senior.

In 2017, the Packers would have drafted T.J. Watt but instead took Kevin King. In 2022, the Packers would have drafted two-time Butkus Award winner Devin Lloyd, but instead took Walker. In 52 games (15 starts), Walker had 137 tackles, five sacks, 11 tackles for loss, zero interceptions, a forced fumble and three interceptions. protected. Lloyd went five votes later in Jacksonville. Last year alone, he collected 110 tackles, eight sacks, 22 tackles for loss, four interceptions, one forced fumble and 10 passes defensed.

7. How Long Until Rest of Rookies Can Contribute?

The Packers signed tight end Jarran Reed in free agency, so they don’t need tight end Devonte Wyatt to be the starting quarterback. They signed veteran receiver Sammy Watkins, so they don’t need second-rounder Christian Watson or fourth-rounder Romeo Doubs to force their way into the lineup right away.

But those players are where the feeling is. Reed has years of quality play under his belt but Wyatt could be a game changer. The same goes for Watson and Doubs compared to Watkins, who is trying to resurrect his career. For this team to succeed in January, several rookies will have to be difference makers.

8. Can Mason Crosby Bounce Back?

The last time Mason Crosby had a bad season, he went back for the longest punt return in franchise history.

Even Crosby admitted that didn’t mean anything. A lot of things went wrong last year, including a catcher change at the end of training camp, a weak defense and a swap of snappers in the middle of the season. Even if he didn’t believe it, you have to think that Crosby was ready to kick everything wondering if the bomb would be on target, the catch would be right’ and all will be forbidden.

With a new coordinator (Rich Bisaccia) and a new owner (veteran Pat O’Donnell), there will be no excuses for Crosby not to return to his old form.

“He’s had a hell of a career,” Bisaccia said. “The one good thing I know about Crosby is that he came back in his junior year to play well. I’m excited to be around him, to learn from him, to see what his strengths are and that where can we move forward and continue to improve.”

9. Can Rasul Douglas, Eric Stokes Lead Pick Parade?

Can Rasul Douglas propose last year? And can Eric Stokes increase his production of skill?

Douglas won five games last season, more than he did in his first four seasons combined. Thanks in part to the improved learning curve taught by defensive backs coach Jerry Gray, Douglas’ outlook is very positive, leading to hope that he won’t be a one-year wonder.

Meanwhile, Stokes, last year’s first-round pick, had one interception, but his four passing yards were tied for the most on the field. of sports, according to Sports Info Solutions. Assuming Jaire Alexander returns to All-Pro form, the defense could be a significant force if Douglas and Stokes combine for eight or 10 tackles.

10. Can Aaron Jones, AJ Dillon Carry the Load?

Without Davante Adams, the Packers will need running backs Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon to pick up some of the slack.

Famously, the Packers have gone 7-0 without Adams the past three seasons. Jones’ play was a big reason. With Adams on the sidelines, Jones wrote:

Totaled 182 yards, four touchdowns vs. Dallas in 2019

Totaled 60 yards against Detroit in 2019

Totaled 83 yards, one touchdown against Oakland in 2019

Totaled 226 yards, two touchdowns vs. Kansas City in 2019

Totaled 86 yards, one touchdown against New Orleans in 2020

Totaled 111 yards, 1 touchdown vs. Atlanta in 2020

Totaled 110 yards, one touchdown against Arizona in 2021

That’s an average of 122.6 yards per game and a total of 10 touchdowns in those seven games. Can the 27-year-old be that explosive this offseason, or at least until the receiver situation is resolved?

Meanwhile, running back AJ Dillon is coming off a solid second year. Now, you need more explosions, too. Last year, 50 rushers had at least 100 carries. Dillon’s 10-yard completion rate of 4.8 percent was worst in the league. Dillon has shown great ability to turn 2 yards into 4 or 5. He needs to turn 5-yard runs into 15 or 20.

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All-NFC North Offense

Our first all-time NFC North team includes three members of the Green Bay Packers and eight unanimous selections.

Quarterback: Aaron Rodgers, Packers (unanimous)

Rodgers, who has won back-to-back MVPs and four overall, is the No. 1 in NFL history with a 4.83 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Rodgers, Patrick Mahomes (4.08), Russell Wilson (3.36) and Tom Brady (3.07) are the only quarterbacks at 3.00 or higher. How much power does Rodgers have on this team? If he started the season with 16 catches and touchdowns, he would still be ahead of Mahomes.

Running back: Dalvin Cook, Vikings (unanimous)

After injuries plagued his first two seasons, Cook has stayed healthy for at least 13 games over the past three years and has established himself as one of the NFL’s elite running backs. back with 4,955 total yards. He shines with a combination of vision, explosiveness, agility, and power. Cook should be in line for another big season in 2022, perhaps with a bigger role to absorb Kevin O’Connell’s offense.

Receiver: Justin Jefferson, Vikings (unanimous)

Mike Zimmer didn’t put Jefferson in the starting lineup until Week 3 of his rookie year in 2020. The then-21-year-old broke out with an incredible 175-yard game that day and he did not look back. He leads all players in receiving yards over the past two seasons and is at or near the top in every advanced metric among receivers. Jefferson is a true young star who is already the face of the Vikings franchise.

Receiver: Adam Thielen, Vikings

It’s been a long time since Thielen posted back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons in 2017 and 2018. He hasn’t returned to the 1K mark since then, as injuries and age have slowed him down. his proposal. Where he has continued to rule is in the red area; Thielen is one of four receivers with 30 receiving TDs since 2019. In that span, he has only dropped more than eight.

Slot receiver: Amon-Ra St. Brown, Lions (unanimous)

The younger brother of former Packers wide receiver Equanimeous St. Brown, began to shine during the second half of his rookie season. His reception in the end zone against the Vikings gave coach Dan Campbell his first win. His 90 receptions trailed only Ja’Marr Chase and Jaylen Waddle among rookies, and he finished the season with eight catches for 109 yards and one touchdown against Green Bay.

Tight end: T.J. Hockenson, Lions

The eighth pick of the 2019 draft, it’s time for Hockenson to take the next step in his career following recent seasons of 60-plus catches. Quarterback Jared Goff will rely on Hockenson to stay healthy to provide another option in the passing game. New offensive coordinator Ben Johnson should have ample opportunity to unlock his potential, as he was previously the team’s head coach.

Left tackle: David Bakhtiari, Packers (unanimous)

Bakhtiari, a five-time All-Pro, suffered a torn ACL on New Year’s Eve 2020. Would the Packers have reached the Super Bowl if he had been on the field for the NFC title game against Tampa Bay? And would last season have ended differently if Bakhtiari had returned from injury? When he finished playing in 2020, he gave up one sack.

Guard: Elgton Jenkins, Packers (unanimous)

Jenkins is another member of the Packers’ ACL Club. A Pro Bowl guard in 2020, he slid to left tackle to replace Bakhtiari last season. As he progressed, Jenkins cemented his status as one of the best linemen in the NFL. However, he suffered a torn ACL in Minnesota in November. When healthy, he could return to guard or right tackle.

Center: Frank Ragnow, Lions (unanimous)

The Lions offense has received a lot of praise this season. It is expected that Ragnow and Co. they will rush to protect Jared Goff and open holes for the speedy D’Andre Swift. Ragnow is an elite player at his position, so his presence was felt in the 13 games he missed after foot surgery. In 17 games two seasons ago, he allowed zero sacks.

Guard: Cody Whitehair, Bears; Jonah Jackson, Lions (tie)

Whitehair is the only Bears lineman to have been in the Pro Bowl, though he was in the middle in 2018 and was not left guard where he is now. He allows an average of less than three sacks per year, and Pro Football Focus has rated him above 87.5 but not below 64.9 as a blocker throughout his career.

I was very surprised when some insiders voted for Jackson. He continued in Year 2 but, while allowing only two sacks, he still allowed 35 pressures. His skills should greatly help the running game, which Dan Campbell wants to it improves. If Jackson can continue his development as a pass protector, he could earn another Pro Bowl berth in 2022.

Right tackle: Brian O’Neill, Vikings (unanimous)

The Vikings haven’t had a stay-at-home offensive lineman like O’Neill in a long time. It is the definition of stable and reliable performance. Last season, he allowed one sack and continued to use his athleticism and his style of creating holes in the run game. O’Neill made the Pro Bowl last season, making him the first Vikings OL to receive the honor in nearly a decade.

Kicker: Cairo Santos, Bears

Santos set the Bears record for field goal accuracy in 2020 at 93.8 percent (30-of-32). Including last season, when he made 26-of-30, his two-year mark for Chicago is a career-high 89.1 percent. He surpassed the NFL record for 44 consecutive field goals held by Adam Vinatieri, hitting 40 straight before missing 2021. He did this without one of the worst performances by the best in the league for kickers.

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NFC North Insiders: All-Defense Team

Our first all-time NFC North defense includes six members of the Green Bay Packers, highlighted by consensus picks Kenny Clark and Jaire Alexander.

Edge: Rashan Gary, Packers

Gary proved that the Packers were right to select him at No. 12 overall in 2019. Last season, he had 9.5 sacks but ranked second in pressures and pass rush and third in pass rush production per Pro Football Focus. Gary is big and explosive. There is nothing fancy about his game. The key will be to convert the other 81 pressures into bags.

Defensive tackle: Kenny Clark, Packers (unanimous)

A Pro Bowler in 2019 and 2021, Clark is one of the few NFL defensive backs who can control the game from first and third down. While he had just four sacks, he ranked fourth among interior defensive linemen with 67 pressures, according to PFF. Drafted in the first round in 2016, he is only 26 years old. The Packers have 26 rookies.

Defensive tackle: Dalvin Tomlinson, Vikings (unanimous)

Tomlinson was the Vikings’ undrafted free agent in 2021 after becoming a top reliever with the Giants. He’s not an amazing player or a great player, but he does a dirty job of punching holes in the run game and picking up double teams so his teammates can make plays. Tomlinson is a key part of the Vikings’ frontcourt.

Edge: Robert Quinn, Bears; Danielle Hunter, Vikings (tied)

By posting 18 1/2 sacks last year to break Richard Dent’s single-season record, Quinn erased thoughts of his own two-sack season in 2020. Quinn has 101 career sacks and forced 32 fumbles, including seven against the Bears. Now 32 years old, he still plays in a 4-3, where he has been the best of his career.

Linebacker: Roquan Smith, Bears (unanimous)

Smith joins elite company, as he and Pro Football Hall of Fame linebacker Ray Lewis are the only two to make 300-plus tackles and 30-plus tackles for loss over two seasons. only. Smith has 302 tackles and 30 for loss. Although he has never made the Pro Bowl, Smith has been a second-team All-Pro for two straight years and is now playing a small-side role.

Linebacker: De’Vondre Campbell, Packers

By 2021, the first few waves of free agency had come and gone. Finally, during June’s minicamp, the Packers signed Campbell to a one-year, $2 million deal. The reward? All-Pro season – the first by a Packers off-the-ball player since Hall of Famer Ray Nitschke. He was the only NFL linebacker with 100-plus tackles and at least two sacks, two forced fumbles and two interceptions. In a 3-1 vote, he beat out Vikings star Eric Kendricks for a spot on the team.

Cornerback: Jaire Alexander, Packers (unanimous)

Alexander earned All-Pro honors in 2020 but missed most of last season with a shoulder injury. The Packers recently made him the highest-paid cornerback in NFL history. And for good reason. With just five picks in four seasons, Alexander posted completion rates of 48.5 percent in 2019, 42.3 percent in 2020 and 46.7 percent in his 2021 season. abbreviated, according to Sports Info Solutions.

Cornerback: Amani Oruwariye (unanimous)

The talented defensive lineman has proven to be one of Detroit’s best players. A fifth-round pick in 2019, he finished third in the NFL last season with six interceptions. The expectation from the coaching staff now is for Oruwariye to turn into a fullback. With Jeff Okudah, the third overall pick in 2020, as a big question mark, Detroit can rely on its No. 1 corner.

Cornerback: Rasul Douglas, Packers; Jaylon Johnson, Bears (tied)

What a year for Douglas. He was not re-signed by the Panthers in free agency, released by the Raiders and Texans in training camp, and had to remain on the Cardinals’ practice squad. That’s where the Packers found the real X-factor. In 12 games, he was tied for fourth with five interceptions—including two picks—and ranked No. 1 in passing rate allowed, according to PFF.

The first starting quarterback on opening day for the Bears since 1996, Johnson’s 24 sacks are the most by any player in the NFC North over the past two seasons . Johnson was tasked with covering the team’s top wide receiver last season. He has provided 58 percent goal completion according to Sportradar.

Safety: Harrison Smith, Vikings (unanimous)

Smith’s game has progressed well, in large part due to his instincts and intelligence. The 2012 first baseman has been one of the best safeties in the league for a decade now, and some strong seasons could help his case for Canton. It will be fun to watch the Vikings’ longest-tenured player play alongside talented rookie Lewis Cine in the secondary this year.

Safety: Adrian Amos, Packers

Amos is one of the most underrated players in the NFL. Maybe it’s because of the lack of great dramas. He has four consecutive two-hit seasons. The biggest thing at safety is preventing big plays, and that’s where Amos is amazing. He’s in the right place at the right time every time, and he’s one of the best open players in the business.

Punter: Jack Fox, Lions

Fox showed off his increased footwork, and finished second in the league in punting and sixth in punting average. Detroit’s special teams corps is well-coached, as coordinator Dave Fipp has added skill players to the roster. No one likes to get hit, but having Fox gives defenses the confidence to be able to pin opponents deep in their zone more often.

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