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There is a story of reshuffle in the air. If you think back to 2012, you might remember a particular phrase — the combination was king. The Obama coalition, the collection of all Americans is growing, from non -white voters to single women. Romney’s constituents, by comparison, have disappeared. White, Christian, and married, they are the losers in a more diverse and more secular population. Democratic rule was inevitable.

That analysis should have caused us a terrible feeling. Governments that use symbolism or culture as a political guide are often more rigid, and more aggressive. This is true throughout the world, and it is true in our own country. Cultural divisions and violence have torn the country apart. It is absurd to think that it can never be broken again — especially when the political class deliberately incites voters to vote as a racist group.

Optimistic Democrats did not see Donald Trump’s victory in 2016 as a denial of the inclusion of higher education as a symbol of electoral college and a reminder that Hillary Clinton is not Barack Obama. The country hasn’t become much-less now, and so more whites can win races when political identity dominates.

But 2020 told a different story. Democrats are more white, Republicans are more diverse, and now all opinions are distorted. Donald Trump lost the popular vote by far more widely than in 2016, but he did better to Hispanic, Asian, and black voters. In fact, Trump did better than Romney and non -white voters in 2016 (an improvement caused by Hillary Clinton’s weaknesses), and he improved on that show. to 2020. What was previously seen as a crisis appears to be a trend.

The situation continues. Last week Josh Kraushaar of Axios described the ongoing “seismic change” in two areas. As summed up in a New York Times/Siena College poll, “Democrats are now more likely to graduate from white college than non -white voters.” The loss of the Democratic Party and Hispanics is remarkable. While Obama won 71 percent of the Spanish vote in 2012, and Biden won 65 percent in 2020, now the Spanish election is “tied for free.”

In addition, there are good reasons to believe that Hispanic voters will continue to travel to the GOP. As Ruy Teixeira explains this week on his Substack, detailed research from Echelon Insights shows that strong progress has very different political and cultural views from Hispanics.

The more Spanish-American voters believe the “greatest country in the world,” the more they are less supportive of police protection, the more they don’t believe “the racism is built into it. of our society, ”and that’s even more unbelievable. transgender athletes should play on teams that match their current identity. In many cases, the gap between the votes is very large.

What is the reason for those major differences in belief in values? As my partner Jonah Goldberg has repeatedly stated (and rightly so), we should reject monocausal statements for complex social problems, but this is not enough to discuss. The Democratic Party has a lot of “God gap,” and that God gap is sparking a gap between its whites and non -white voters.

Let’s take a look at the records. A Pew Research Center study in 2018 on American religious beliefs finds a picture worth a thousand words:

We would be foolish to believe that many religious differences will eventually manifest themselves in different political contexts. Ever since I first stood on the campus of Harvard Law Schools more than 30 years ago, I have seen with my own eyes the extreme ridicule of many strong white people towards the traditional Christianity.

But in belittling religion or religious beliefs, worldly progressives often belittle important members of their own group. Writing in response to the controversy over Chick-fil-A, Yale law professor Stephen Carter heard the signal more than four years ago:

In general, people of color are more likely than whites to be Christians – and are devout Christians at that. About 83 percent of all black Americans are absolutely certain that God exists. No other group comes close to this figure. Black Christians are far more likely than white Christians (84 percent to 64 percent) to describe religions as the most important in their lives. Of all races, black Christians attend meetings, pray regularly, and read the Bible regularly. They too – the kicker – seem to believe that their faith is the place to find answers to questions about right and wrong. And they, by many lines, seem to believe that the Bible is the true word of God and is infallible. In short, if you see Christian traditions as dangerous, it’s black people you’re talking about.

Hispanic Americans also often have religious values. In October 2020 the New York Times’s Jennifer Medina published an exclusive report showing Trump’s support for Hispanic Evangelicals. Called “Latino, Evangelical, and Politically Homeless,” it revealed this insightful verse: “The Spanish evangelizers declare it to be first and foremost religious.”

Yes. It’s serious. That is precisely why they will not have access to a political system that focuses on racial activism, especially when politics is in line with left -wing cultural norms and hatred for traditional religion. Hispanic voters will have a religious connection with many, many white Republicans, and that religious connection could prove to be more cultural and political than any attempt to create a political system. based on organization or racial affiliation.

The secular inequality of white Democrats represents a threat for the Democratic Party, for the nation, and for American religion. The risk for Democrats is clear. America may be more secular than it has been for generations, but it is still a religious country. The religion is far superior to that of any other European country. It is more religious than Canada or any other country in the world. And it will remain the same for the foreseeable future.

A party that breaks away from (or perhaps mocks at) traditional religious beliefs will alienate tens of millions of people. possible election.

The risk to the country is a manifestation of the same risk represented by traditional politics. If there is one thing that can tear a nation apart such as ethnic division, it is religious strife. The historical examples — from Catholic/Protestant to Hindu/Muslim to Sunni/Shiite — are too numerous to count. In fact, we are seeing a very strong war unfolding in eastern Europe that is provoked at least in part by a non -religious group. Our nation will be far, far healthier if we are not divided along religious lines.

Religious tensions and political divisions are also rampant within religions themselves. Converting one party to the “faith party” not only risks repeating many of the Trump -era reforms (many Christians have seen GOP support only). this is their only real choice), it also risks the mixture of faith and power and faith and belief in utter destruction. way.

There are countless political and cultural issues that do not have a clear Christian definition, but when members consider a party to be part of American Christianity. , which means that the foundation has gone wrong in religion, even in issues (such as taxation, gun policy, environmental policy, policy). abroad, and many others) for which the correct religious answer is not clear.

In addition, the intertwining of the Christian faith with political power has a dangerous background for Christianity. Note, for example, that Christianity had disappeared from Europe, the very continent on which religion and state had been united for centuries in a way never before seen in the United States of America. When the Christian power is seen as necessary for the nourishment of the Christian faith, history shows that it is power, not power. faith, will be the priority of Christians.

The future was not written. Both sides are at a crossroads. There is time for secular progress to understand that Christians (including especially the black church) are an essential element of the progressive relationship. At the very least secular Americans should show genuine respect and tolerance for traditional religious beliefs.

In fact, there is a long history of left-wing Christian politics in the United States. America would be a less righteous place without their Christian testimony, and many Christians progressed politically to culture and traditions, including sexual and gender issues. Can they maintain their political family?

Conservative Evangelicals — who come equally from the South — have a real chance to turn the page on generations of terrible sinners. Why are black Christians so far removed from the white church? Because for centuries, too many white Christians have looked down on their black brothers and sisters through the lenses of a common faith but rather through the horrific scenes of a different kind. Western -oriented politics divided the church, and its enduring legacy is a roadblock to unity today.

While the histories of Hispanic Americans and black Christians are not the same, hate language and fear about immigration (including, for example, “educational change” speeches) cause many Christians Republicans view immigrants from Hispanics as more of a political threat and less so. brothers and sisters may share the same faith.

In December 2016, the editor -in -chief of the New York Times, Dean Baquet, quoted NPR’s Terry Gross as saying, “We don’t have religions. We don’t have the role of religion in people’s lives.” He was right in telling me. During my time in deep blue America, it was clear to me that many of my worldly friends were confused about my faith at first.

But if we don’t “get religion” we won’t fully experience seismic change in American politics. America is a cultural, multi-faith, and deeply religious nation. If one or both sides can accept every element of that fact, then we have the opportunity to ensure that seismic change moves our politics toward the greater respect that America needs. .

In May I wrote at length about the police failure in Uvalde, Texas, and since then the story has gotten worse. I don’t want to be connected to the newly released videos of cops waiting in the street as guns fall into a classroom a few feet away, but it’s just as bad as you might think. But, I want to connect it to something else, something much better.

There is still courage in this country. Last week I ran into the story of Nick Bostic thanks to this tweet:

This great courage drove into a burning building, stopped his car, and saved a family. WLFI News has details, in Bostic’s own words:

“I stood at the brake, I turned the wheel, I made the 180, I ran to the back of the house and I yelled for anyone with 4 faces, 3 or 4 faces that came up.”

Four children accompanied their 18 -year -old sister inside.

The older sister was able to get rid of her three siblings but is missing one, Nick Ran is back inside.

“I heard a faint cry, a faint sound of crying and I went downstairs until I found that baby,” Nick said.

Because of the smoke, Nick’s only option was to get out of the upper floors.

“I remember looking out a window in the first room I checked on the kid and I knew that was the direction to go, it was probably my best option.”

The boy was safe but Nick suffered multiple serious injuries.

“Everything worked out. I kept reminding myself that it was a small sacrifice. This temporary pain, of course, was worth it.”

My Good Faith podcast co-host Curtis Chang has been on a “sabbatical” for most of this month (must be fun Curtis!) But that doesn’t stop me from podcasting. This week I hosted Scott Sauls, pastor of Christ Presbyterian Church in Nashville. We talked about her new book, Beautiful People Don’t Just Happen, or “work” to win, and about her usual warnings about cultural warfare.

It was a very interesting conversation. I hope you practice, even if my fan chooses to take the moon.

I know a few mountains. I know very few Thomists. And I know for sure there are no Hillbilly Thomists. But most of the readers know and love these guys, and they always send me really happy songs. They’ve released new music, and it’s fun. Be happy:

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